Adoption

22 technologies, three public signals, recomputed every day. Installs show who is actually using something; Wikipedia and Hacker News show who is paying attention. When the two split, that is the story.

TodayOctober 8, 2026AI codingCoding agents outrun attention as installs plateauClaude Code's rise shows developer tools winning on talk, not downloads, while AI APIs surge.Read today's post

The last seven days

Every day in the archive →

Rewind: the board, day by day

Press play or drag the dial to watch momentum move across the last 11 days. Each bar is one trend; 1× means no change.

Coding agents outrun attention as installs plateau

5 of 21 trends are climbing; SpaceX Starship leads at 1.38×

Momentum is a typical day (median) of the last 7 divided by a typical day of the 28 before, averaged across every signal with enough data. 1× means no change. Rings mark each signal.

Data through npm 10/05, Wikipedia 10/07, HN 10/07. Source: npm downloads API, Wikimedia pageviews, Hacker News search.

5 of 7 developer tools are being installed faster than they are being read about

Across: attention momentum (Wikipedia readers and Hacker News stories). Up: install momentum (npm). Both on log scales; the 1× lines split the corners.

Data through npm 10/05, Wikipedia 10/07, HN 10/07. Source: npm downloads API, Wikimedia pageviews, Hacker News search.

SpaceX Starship draws the most Wikipedia readers against its own normal: 1.38× over the last week

Each cell is one day's readers divided by that trend's four-week typical day. Brighter runs hot, darker runs cold.

Data through npm 10/05, Wikipedia 10/07, HN 10/07. Source: Wikimedia pageviews API, user agents only.

OpenAI Codex installs are 116× a year ago; 9 of 10 tools at least doubled

Average daily npm installs, week by week for a year. Each panel has its own scale; the corner figure compares the last four weeks with the same four weeks a year earlier.

Data through npm 10/05, Wikipedia 10/07, HN 10/07. Source: npm downloads API.

Every number

All 22 trends, October 8, 2026. Per-day figures are a typical (median) day of the last week. * = base too small to count (under 1,000 installs, 100 readers or 1 story a day).
SpaceX StarshipSpace1.38×Climbing––1,9011.38×0.10.23×*0
PasskeysWeb platform1.3×Climbing1.1M1.3×931.05×*0.10.4×*0
Claude CodeAI coding1.23×Climbing2.2M0.99×––9.61.52×0
AI API SDKsAI agents1.19×Climbing21M1.19×––––0
OpenAI CodexAI coding1.18×Climbing3.9M1.11×1102.8×*5.31.24×0
Model Context ProtocolAI agents1.14×Steady12M1.27×1,6631.09×7.31.06×0
WebGPUWeb platform1.14×Steady1.7M1.17×1421.12×1.31.56×*0
StarlinkSpace1.1×Steady––2,1951.1×0.71.54×*0
Small modular reactorsEnergy1.09×Steady––5101.09×0.1n/a*0
AI agentsAI agents1.05×Steady782k1.26×9620.81×131.15×4
Heat pumpsEnergy1.05×Steady––5021.05×0.00×*1
Bun runtimeWeb platform1.03×Steady708k1.08×2400.98×0.70.83×*0
Solid-state batteriesEnergy1.03×Steady––4241.03×0.00×*0
Gemini CLIAI coding1.02×Steady66k1.02×––0.0n/a*0
Local LLMsAI agents1×Steady192k1.13×6340.89×0.40.63×*0
eVTOL air taxisSpace0.86×Cooling––1690.86×0.0n/a*0
Vibe codingAI coding0.83×Cooling––1,7551.13×0.70.61×1
Quantum computingDevices0.83×Cooling––1,7000.93×2.30.74×0
Humanoid robotsRobots0.82×Cooling––3010.82×0.91.14×*0
Smart glassesDevices0.72×Cooling––1530.72×0.71.05×*1
RobotaxisRobots0.71×Cooling––1750.71×0.92.2×*1
Vehicle-to-gridEnergyn/aNot enough data––610.98×*0.00×*0

Archive: all 11 daily posts · Feed: RSS · JSON: latest, index

Method and sources

Every trend gets up to three free, daily signals. Installs: npm registry downloads for the packages named on each trend page (developer adoption; it counts CI and mirrors too, so it measures direction, not people). Attention: English Wikipedia readers per day, human agents only, and Hacker News stories with the term in the title. For each signal we divide a typical day (the median) of the last 7 complete days by a typical day of the 28 days before. Medians keep one launch-day spike from carrying a whole week; both windows are whole weeks, so weekend dips sit equally in both. Momentum is the geometric mean of the signals that clear a minimum base. npm reports some days as zero for every package at once; we treat those as missing.

The column is drafted by a free language model from the day's computed facts only, and is published only if every number in it matches those facts; otherwise the computed paragraphs stand alone. Theme labels come from Jev (or its Cloudflare Clef fallback, as noted) choosing from a fixed list of ten.

    Stages: Breakout 1.5× and up, Climbing 1.15×, Steady 0.87× to 1.15×, Cooling below. Raw data: /api/trends/2026-10-08.json.

    Thu, October 8, 2026

    Claude Code Up 2 to No. 3 · 1.23×

    Coding agents outrun attention as installs plateau

    Claude Code is today's biggest mover: up 2 places to No. 3, Hacker News stories at 1.52× the four-week pace.

    Read the day

    Wed, October 7, 2026

    Small modular reactors Up 5 to No. 7 · 1.12×

    Modular hardware wins as SMR interest spikes five ranks

    Small modular reactors is today's biggest mover: up 5 places to No. 7, Wikipedia readers at 1.12× the four-week pace.

    Read the day

    Tue, October 6, 2026

    Claude Code Up 4 to No. 6 · 1.18×

    Claude Code climbs as AI coding tools race

    Claude Code is today's biggest mover: up 4 places to No. 6, Hacker News stories at 1.29× the four-week pace.

    Read the day

    Mon, October 5, 2026

    Model Context Protocol Up 3 to No. 7 · 1.14×

    MCP becomes the universal adapter for AI's tool era

    Model Context Protocol is today's biggest mover: up 3 places to No. 7, installs at 1.23× the four-week pace.

    Read the day

    Sun, October 4, 2026

    Bun runtime Up 4 to No. 11 · 1.1×

    Bun runtime jumps four spots as space attention saturates

    Bun runtime is today's biggest mover: up 4 places to No. 11, installs at 1.19× the four-week pace.

    Read the day

    Sat, October 3, 2026

    Vibe coding Up 4 to No. 11 · 1.11×

    Vibe coding climbs as AI agents tighten system controls

    Vibe coding is today's biggest mover: up 4 places to No. 11, Wikipedia readers at 1.17× the four-week pace.

    Read the day

    Fri, October 2, 2026

    Solid-state batteries Up 6 to No. 5 · 1.25×

    Solid-state batteries jump six spots as energy storage demand accelerates

    Solid-state batteries is today's biggest mover: up 6 places to No. 5, Wikipedia readers at 1.25× the four-week pace.

    Read the day
    1 / 7